CFB Power Ratings

From a hierarchical Bayesian model fit on this season's real games. Net rating is points better than an average FBS team on a neutral field.

138 of 138 teams

#	Team	Conference	Net rating ↓	Offense	Defense
1	Oregon	Big Ten	+8.3	+17.8	+9.5
2	Georgia	SEC	+7.9	+18.4	+10.5
3	Texas	SEC	+7.3	+17.6	+10.3
4	Ohio State	Big Ten	+7.0	+16.2	+9.2
5	Texas A&M	SEC	+6.7	+15.3	+8.6
6	Florida	SEC	+6.1	+13.5	+7.4
7	Michigan	Big Ten	+5.3	+12.6	+7.3
8	USC	Big Ten	+5.3	+12.5	+7.2
9	South Carolina	SEC	+5.3	+11.9	+6.7
10	Notre Dame	FBS Independents	+4.8	+14.0	+9.2
11	Northwestern	Big Ten	+4.0	+5.7	+1.7
12	Ole Miss	SEC	+3.9	+11.3	+7.4
13	San Diego State	Pac-12	+3.8	+2.6	-1.2
14	Oklahoma	SEC	+3.7	+10.4	+6.7
15	Houston	Big 12	+3.7	+5.3	+1.5
16	Marshall	Sun Belt	+3.7	+1.8	-1.8
17	Alabama	SEC	+3.4	+13.1	+9.7
18	BYU	Big 12	+3.3	+4.8	+1.4
19	Washington State	Pac-12	+3.3	+2.9	-0.5
20	Western Michigan	Mid-American	+3.1	+0.9	-2.2
21	Southern Miss	Sun Belt	+3.1	+1.5	-1.6
22	Kansas State	Big 12	+3.0	+5.3	+2.3
23	Louisiana	Sun Belt	+3.0	+1.2	-1.8
24	Miami	ACC	+2.9	+9.8	+6.9
25	Western Kentucky	Conference USA	+2.8	+1.2	-1.6
26	UCLA	Big Ten	+2.8	+6.8	+4.1
27	NC State	ACC	+2.7	+5.9	+3.2
28	SMU	ACC	+2.6	+6.1	+3.6
29	Clemson	ACC	+2.5	+8.8	+6.3
30	Tennessee	SEC	+2.5	+9.9	+7.4
31	Texas State	Pac-12	+2.5	+1.5	-1.0
32	Minnesota	Big Ten	+2.5	+5.2	+2.8
33	Utah	Big 12	+2.3	+4.0	+1.7
34	California	ACC	+2.2	+5.5	+3.3
35	Akron	Mid-American	+2.2	-1.0	-3.2
36	Texas Tech	Big 12	+2.1	+5.7	+3.6
37	Washington	Big Ten	+2.0	+6.2	+4.2
38	Nebraska	Big Ten	+1.9	+6.2	+4.3
39	UAB	American Athletic	+1.9	+0.4	-1.6
40	Arizona	Big 12	+1.9	+3.6	+1.7
41	Baylor	Big 12	+1.9	+4.3	+2.4
42	LSU	SEC	+1.8	+10.6	+8.7
43	Florida State	ACC	+1.7	+6.1	+4.4
44	Missouri	SEC	+1.7	+7.0	+5.3
45	UTSA	American Athletic	+1.6	+1.6	+0.0
46	Boise State	Pac-12	+1.6	+1.3	-0.3
47	South Alabama	Sun Belt	+1.6	-0.8	-2.4
48	Maryland	Big Ten	+1.5	+3.9	+2.5
49	Mississippi State	SEC	+1.0	+6.2	+5.2
50	Virginia Tech	ACC	+1.0	+4.6	+3.6
51	Florida Atlantic	American Athletic	+1.0	-1.1	-2.0
52	Eastern Michigan	Mid-American	+0.9	-1.5	-2.4
53	Purdue	Big Ten	+0.9	+2.5	+1.6
54	Oregon State	Pac-12	+0.7	+0.2	-0.5
55	Toledo	Mid-American	+0.5	-2.6	-3.1
56	Rutgers	Big Ten	+0.5	+2.4	+1.9
57	Delaware	Conference USA	+0.3	-4.4	-4.8
58	Louisville	ACC	+0.3	+3.1	+2.8
59	Wisconsin	Big Ten	-0.1	+3.8	+3.9
60	Syracuse	ACC	-0.2	+2.9	+3.1
61	Louisiana Tech	Sun Belt	-0.2	-3.5	-3.2
62	Hawai'i	Mountain West	-0.3	-3.3	-3.0
63	Vanderbilt	SEC	-0.4	+2.6	+3.0
64	Ohio	Mid-American	-0.6	-4.6	-4.1
65	North Carolina	ACC	-0.7	+3.3	+3.9
66	Auburn	SEC	-0.7	+5.2	+5.9
67	Jacksonville State	Conference USA	-0.7	-2.5	-1.7
68	Colorado State	Pac-12	-0.7	-1.3	-0.5
69	New Mexico	Mountain West	-0.8	-3.2	-2.4
70	Iowa	Big Ten	-0.8	+2.0	+2.7
71	Utah State	Pac-12	-0.8	-3.6	-2.8
72	Kent State	Mid-American	-0.8	-4.5	-3.7
73	Kentucky	SEC	-0.9	+4.0	+4.9
74	Sam Houston	Conference USA	-1.0	-3.9	-2.9
75	Pittsburgh	ACC	-1.0	+0.3	+1.3
76	Georgia State	Sun Belt	-1.3	-3.7	-2.5
77	Temple	American Athletic	-1.3	-2.2	-0.9
78	Liberty	Conference USA	-1.3	-2.1	-0.8
79	App State	Sun Belt	-1.5	-2.5	-1.0
80	TCU	Big 12	-1.5	+1.1	+2.7
81	Tulsa	American Athletic	-1.6	-2.3	-0.7
82	Sacramento State	Mid-American	-1.6	-4.5	-2.9
83	Illinois	Big Ten	-1.8	+0.2	+2.0
84	Central Michigan	Mid-American	-1.8	-5.1	-3.3
85	Indiana	Big Ten	-1.9	+1.1	+3.0
86	Arizona State	Big 12	-1.9	+0.3	+2.2
87	Charlotte	American Athletic	-1.9	-4.3	-2.3
88	Stanford	ACC	-2.0	-0.2	+1.8
89	Fresno State	Pac-12	-2.0	-3.0	-1.0
90	UCF	Big 12	-2.0	-1.2	+0.9
91	Georgia Tech	ACC	-2.1	+1.2	+3.3
92	Penn State	Big Ten	-2.2	+2.0	+4.1
93	Arkansas	SEC	-2.2	+1.4	+3.6
94	Rice	American Athletic	-2.3	-4.0	-1.7
95	Colorado	Big 12	-2.3	+0.2	+2.6
96	North Dakota State	Mountain West	-2.3	-6.2	-3.9
97	West Virginia	Big 12	-2.3	-0.5	+1.8
98	Troy	Sun Belt	-2.4	-4.0	-1.6
99	Arkansas State	Sun Belt	-2.5	-4.0	-1.5
100	Kansas	Big 12	-2.5	-1.3	+1.2
101	South Florida	American Athletic	-2.5	-1.3	+1.2
102	Northern Illinois	Mountain West	-2.6	-6.1	-3.6
103	UNLV	Mountain West	-2.6	-1.8	+0.8
104	Florida International	Conference USA	-2.7	-4.1	-1.4
105	Michigan State	Big Ten	-2.8	-1.0	+1.8
106	Tulane	American Athletic	-2.8	-2.5	+0.2
107	Wake Forest	ACC	-3.0	-1.7	+1.3
108	Middle Tennessee	Conference USA	-3.0	-5.3	-2.4
109	Virginia	ACC	-3.1	-1.3	+1.8
110	Army	American Athletic	-3.2	-12.9	-9.7
111	Nevada	Mountain West	-3.2	-6.3	-3.1
112	UL Monroe	Sun Belt	-3.2	-7.7	-4.4
113	Duke	ACC	-3.3	-2.1	+1.2
114	Missouri State	Conference USA	-3.4	-6.4	-3.0
115	Miami (OH)	Mid-American	-3.5	-4.7	-1.3
116	Memphis	American Athletic	-3.5	-3.2	+0.3
117	Boston College	ACC	-3.5	-2.8	+0.8
118	East Carolina	American Athletic	-3.9	-4.9	-1.0
119	Cincinnati	Big 12	-4.2	-4.4	-0.2
120	Oklahoma State	Big 12	-4.4	-3.4	+1.0
121	Iowa State	Big 12	-4.4	-3.5	+0.9
122	Coastal Carolina	Sun Belt	-4.6	-6.8	-2.3
123	Georgia Southern	Sun Belt	-4.7	-5.1	-0.4
124	UConn	FBS Independents	-4.7	-3.9	+0.8
125	North Texas	American Athletic	-4.9	-6.6	-1.8
126	James Madison	Sun Belt	-5.0	-6.7	-1.7
127	Wyoming	Mountain West	-5.0	-8.6	-3.6
128	Ball State	Mid-American	-5.4	-8.1	-2.8
129	New Mexico State	Conference USA	-5.6	-11.1	-5.5
130	San José State	Mountain West	-5.7	-8.2	-2.5
131	Old Dominion	Sun Belt	-5.7	-8.8	-3.1
132	UTEP	Mountain West	-5.8	-7.9	-2.1
133	Air Force	Mountain West	-5.9	-16.7	-10.8
134	Buffalo	Mid-American	-6.4	-9.6	-3.2
135	Bowling Green	Mid-American	-6.6	-9.3	-2.7
136	Kennesaw State	Conference USA	-6.7	-11.0	-4.3
137	Navy	American Athletic	-11.2	-23.9	-12.8
138	Massachusetts	Mid-American	-12.1	-15.5	-3.5