CFB Playoff Odds
5 automatic bids go to the highest-ranked conference champions, the other 7 spots go to the best of everyone else. Top 4 teams get byes. See the projected bracket and seed odds →
138 of 138 teams
- 94.2%playoff prob.
- 85.4%playoff prob.
- 81.2%playoff prob.
- 72.0%playoff prob.
- 69.3%playoff prob.
- 68.0%playoff prob.
- 56.7%playoff prob.
- 56.5%playoff prob.
- 54.9%playoff prob.
- 50.7%playoff prob.
- 49.3%playoff prob.
- 46.8%playoff prob.
- 44.9%playoff prob.
- 41.5%playoff prob.
- 38.3%playoff prob.
- 31.9%playoff prob.
- 28.3%playoff prob.
- 27.8%playoff prob.
- 27.3%playoff prob.
- 21.4%playoff prob.
- 16.1%playoff prob.
- 15.8%playoff prob.
- 14.1%playoff prob.
- 12.0%playoff prob.
- 11.6%playoff prob.
- 11.1%playoff prob.
- 11.0%playoff prob.
- 6.8%playoff prob.
- 6.0%playoff prob.
- 5.9%playoff prob.
- 5.5%playoff prob.
- 4.6%playoff prob.
- 4.6%playoff prob.
- 4.4%playoff prob.
- 3.7%playoff prob.
- 3.4%playoff prob.
- 2.1%playoff prob.
- 2.0%playoff prob.
- 1.7%playoff prob.
- 1.4%playoff prob.
- 1.3%playoff prob.
- 1.2%playoff prob.
- 1.2%playoff prob.
- 1.0%playoff prob.
- 0.9%playoff prob.
- 0.7%playoff prob.
- 0.6%playoff prob.
- 0.5%playoff prob.
- 0.4%playoff prob.
- 0.4%playoff prob.
- 0.3%playoff prob.
- 0.3%playoff prob.
- 0.2%playoff prob.
- 0.2%playoff prob.
- 0.1%playoff prob.
- 0.1%playoff prob.
- 0.1%playoff prob.
- 0.1%playoff prob.
- 0.1%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 73Florida International
Conference USA · 3-5
WAB -3.83 · SOS -7.7 (#116) · Conf. champ 0.1% · Bye 0.0%
0.0%playoff prob. - 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
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- 0.0%playoff prob.
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- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
- 0.0%playoff prob.
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- 0.0%playoff prob.
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| # | Team | Conference | Record | WAB | SOS | Conf. champ | Bye | Playoff prob. ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | ACC | 8-0 | +2.36 | +1.4 (#51) | 68.8% | 62.4% | 94.2% |
| 2 | Georgia | SEC | 7-1 | +2.18 | +5.6 (#17) | 36.4% | 61.5% | 85.4% |
| 3 | Indiana | Big Ten | 8-1 | +2.01 | +2.7 (#32) | 34.7% | 37.5% | 81.2% |
| 4 | Utah | Big 12 | 8-0 | +2.01 | +0.8 (#58) | 39.9% | 32.3% | 72.0% |
| 5 | Notre Dame | Independent | 7-1 | +1.20 | +1.5 (#46) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 69.3% |
| 6 | Alabama | SEC | 6-2 | +2.16 | +6.6 (#13) | 10.0% | 23.7% | 68.0% |
| 7 | Texas | SEC | 6-2 | +2.16 | +10.6 (#1) | 9.4% | 28.4% | 56.7% |
| 8 | UCLA | Big Ten | 8-0 | +2.09 | +2.7 (#31) | 19.2% | 21.2% | 56.5% |
| 9 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6-2 | +1.44 | +5.1 (#21) | 32.5% | 23.4% | 54.9% |
| 10 | Ole Miss | SEC | 6-2 | +2.33 | +6.9 (#10) | 15.7% | 20.5% | 50.7% |
| 11 | LSU | SEC | 6-2 | +1.45 | +7.3 (#7) | 9.9% | 20.0% | 49.3% |
| 12 | BYU | Big 12 | 7-1 | +1.35 | +1.7 (#42) | 15.4% | 14.2% | 46.8% |
| 13 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7-1 | +1.21 | +0.3 (#61) | 27.9% | 6.7% | 44.9% |
| 14 | Kentucky | SEC | 7-1 | +2.81 | +7.4 (#4) | 7.2% | 16.8% | 41.5% |
| 15 | Tennessee | SEC | 6-2 | +1.32 | +5.8 (#15) | 7.2% | 13.0% | 38.3% |
| 16 | Wake Forest | ACC | 7-1 | +1.53 | -0.7 (#69) | 17.7% | 1.2% | 31.9% |
| 17 | Boise State | Pac-12 | 7-1 | +1.06 | -1.7 (#75) | 57.3% | 0.0% | 28.3% |
| 18 | Houston | Big 12 | 6-2 | +0.81 | +1.4 (#50) | 6.4% | 1.0% | 27.8% |
| 19 | Missouri | SEC | 6-2 | +1.31 | +6.8 (#12) | 3.3% | 6.7% | 27.3% |
| 20 | Iowa | Big Ten | 6-2 | +0.91 | +2.0 (#39) | 2.2% | 1.3% | 21.4% |
| 21 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 7-1 | +0.33 | -6.0 (#97) | 47.5% | 0.0% | 16.1% |
| 22 | Liberty | Conference USA | 7-1 | -0.13 | -9.2 (#129) | 60.9% | 0.0% | 15.8% |
| 23 | UTSA | American Athletic | 7-1 | +0.87 | -4.2 (#81) | 44.4% | 0.0% | 14.1% |
| 24 | South Carolina | SEC | 5-3 | +0.66 | +5.9 (#14) | 0.4% | 2.3% | 12.0% |
| 25 | Oregon | Big Ten | 5-3 | +0.35 | +5.3 (#19) | 4.2% | 0.3% | 11.6% |
| 26 | USC | Big Ten | 7-2 | +1.28 | +4.8 (#22) | 3.1% | 1.1% | 11.1% |
| 27 | Arizona | Big 12 | 6-2 | +0.16 | -0.1 (#66) | 3.1% | 0.3% | 11.0% |
| 28 | Florida | SEC | 5-3 | +1.45 | +7.3 (#6) | 0.5% | 0.1% | 6.8% |
| 29 | SMU | ACC | 6-2 | -0.15 | +0.4 (#60) | 5.2% | 0.0% | 6.0% |
| 30 | North Texas | American Athletic | 6-2 | -0.17 | -4.7 (#85) | 22.8% | 0.0% | 5.9% |
| 31 | Louisville | ACC | 5-3 | -0.32 | +2.3 (#37) | 5.4% | 0.0% | 5.5% |
| 32 | Memphis | American Athletic | 7-2 | -0.65 | -6.2 (#103) | 18.8% | 0.0% | 4.6% |
| 33 | North Dakota State | Mountain West | 7-2 | -0.83 | -8.4 (#125) | 29.3% | 0.0% | 4.6% |
| 34 | Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | 6-2 | -0.23 | -6.2 (#102) | 34.3% | 0.0% | 4.4% |
| 35 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 5-3 | -0.69 | +1.2 (#56) | 3.7% | 0.0% | 3.7% |
| 36 | Baylor | Big 12 | 5-3 | -0.86 | +1.6 (#44) | 3.4% | 0.0% | 3.4% |
| 37 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 5-3 | +0.29 | +1.5 (#47) | 2.0% | 0.0% | 2.1% |
| 38 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 5-3 | -1.12 | -1.6 (#74) | 21.9% | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| 39 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6-2 | +0.49 | +2.3 (#38) | 0.7% | 0.0% | 1.7% |
| 40 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 5-3 | +0.00 | +3.4 (#25) | 0.8% | 0.0% | 1.4% |
| 41 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 7-2 | -0.97 | -7.8 (#120) | 27.3% | 0.0% | 1.3% |
| 42 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6-2 | -0.33 | -1.0 (#72) | 1.1% | 0.0% | 1.2% |
| 43 | Duke | ACC | 6-2 | -0.41 | +0.6 (#59) | 0.9% | 0.0% | 1.2% |
| 44 | Jacksonville State | Conference USA | 6-2 | -1.06 | -8.0 (#122) | 27.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% |
| 45 | Michigan | Big Ten | 5-3 | -0.15 | +5.5 (#18) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
| 46 | Clemson | ACC | 5-3 | -0.10 | +2.5 (#34) | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| 47 | Fresno State | Pac-12 | 5-3 | -1.05 | -2.5 (#76) | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| 48 | Oklahoma | SEC | 4-4 | +0.19 | +9.9 (#2) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| 49 | South Florida | American Athletic | 6-2 | -1.18 | -7.7 (#115) | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
| 50 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5-3 | -0.58 | +2.6 (#33) | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
| 51 | Air Force | Mountain West | 6-2 | -1.10 | -6.6 (#108) | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 52 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7-2 | -1.10 | -10.7 (#135) | 27.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| 53 | Washington | Big Ten | 5-3 | -0.39 | +3.5 (#24) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 54 | Toledo | Mid-American | 6-2 | -1.39 | -11.1 (#137) | 23.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 55 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 4-4 | -1.02 | +2.5 (#36) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 56 | UNLV | Mountain West | 5-3 | -1.79 | -5.0 (#87) | 10.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 57 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 6-3 | -0.71 | +0.1 (#63) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 58 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 5-3 | -0.70 | +1.5 (#49) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 59 | Mississippi State | SEC | 4-4 | +0.76 | +7.0 (#8) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 60 | TCU | Big 12 | 4-4 | -1.94 | +1.9 (#41) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 61 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 4-4 | -1.12 | +1.6 (#45) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 62 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 5-3 | -0.69 | +1.3 (#55) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 63 | Western Michigan | Mid-American | 6-3 | -1.47 | -8.7 (#128) | 33.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 64 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4-4 | -0.46 | +7.4 (#5) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 65 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | 5-3 | -1.60 | -5.0 (#88) | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 66 | Army | American Athletic | 5-3 | -1.85 | -6.0 (#95) | 7.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 67 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 5-3 | -1.15 | +1.6 (#43) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 68 | NC State | ACC | 4-4 | -2.02 | -0.3 (#67) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 69 | Texas State | Pac-12 | 4-4 | -1.74 | -0.5 (#68) | 10.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 70 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 5-3 | -2.10 | -7.2 (#111) | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 71 | UCF | Big 12 | 4-4 | -1.25 | +0.9 (#57) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 72 | North Carolina | ACC | 4-4 | -0.67 | +2.9 (#30) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 73 | Florida International | Conference USA | 3-5 | -3.83 | -7.7 (#116) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 74 | Northern Illinois | Mountain West | 0-8 | -6.15 | -4.8 (#86) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 75 | Eastern Michigan | Mid-American | 4-5 | -3.94 | -10.1 (#134) | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 76 | East Carolina | American Athletic | 4-4 | -2.55 | -6.4 (#106) | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 77 | Delaware | Conference USA | 4-4 | -2.69 | -6.2 (#104) | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 78 | Colorado State | Pac-12 | 3-5 | -2.98 | -0.9 (#70) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 79 | Colorado | Big 12 | 3-5 | -1.82 | +3.0 (#28) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 80 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 2-7 | -5.67 | -6.5 (#107) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 81 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3-5 | -3.85 | -6.2 (#101) | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 82 | Charlotte | American Athletic | 1-7 | -5.31 | -4.5 (#84) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 83 | Penn State | Big Ten | 4-4 | -1.59 | +1.3 (#54) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 84 | Purdue | Big Ten | 3-5 | -1.48 | +5.7 (#16) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 85 | Rice | American Athletic | 1-7 | -5.09 | -3.3 (#78) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 86 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 2-6 | -3.31 | +1.5 (#48) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 87 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3-5 | -3.39 | -8.3 (#124) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 88 | Sacramento State | Mid-American | 2-7 | -6.26 | -10.0 (#133) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 89 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | 1-7 | -5.46 | -5.8 (#94) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 90 | San Diego State | Pac-12 | 4-5 | -2.90 | -1.2 (#73) | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 91 | San José State | Mountain West | 4-5 | -3.41 | -5.3 (#90) | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 92 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 4-4 | -2.70 | -7.6 (#114) | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 93 | California | ACC | 3-6 | -2.96 | +1.3 (#53) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 94 | Buffalo | Mid-American | 6-3 | -1.92 | -10.9 (#136) | 11.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 95 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 3-5 | -3.86 | -7.0 (#110) | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 96 | Stanford | ACC | 4-5 | -1.37 | +3.0 (#29) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 97 | Kent State | Mid-American | 3-6 | -3.91 | -7.5 (#113) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 98 | Temple | American Athletic | 2-6 | -4.80 | -6.0 (#98) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 99 | Bowling Green | Mid-American | 2-7 | -5.61 | -9.3 (#131) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 100 | Boston College | ACC | 4-4 | -1.72 | +2.5 (#35) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 101 | Ball State | Mid-American | 3-5 | -3.07 | -7.7 (#117) | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 102 | Troy | Sun Belt | 4-4 | -2.40 | -6.8 (#109) | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 103 | Tulane | American Athletic | 4-4 | -2.42 | -4.0 (#80) | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 104 | Tulsa | American Athletic | 4-4 | -2.61 | -5.5 (#91) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 105 | UAB | American Athletic | 4-4 | -2.58 | -6.0 (#96) | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 106 | Auburn | SEC | 4-4 | +0.55 | +6.9 (#11) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 107 | UConn | Independent | 4-4 | -3.23 | -7.3 (#112) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 108 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | 1-7 | -6.00 | -7.7 (#118) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 109 | UTEP | Mountain West | 1-7 | -4.44 | -3.0 (#77) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 110 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | -2.91 | -8.2 (#123) | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 111 | Arkansas | SEC | 3-5 | -1.06 | +8.6 (#3) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 112 | Utah State | Pac-12 | 3-5 | -2.53 | -0.9 (#71) | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 113 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 3-5 | -1.56 | +7.0 (#9) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 114 | Virginia | ACC | 4-5 | -2.44 | +0.3 (#62) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 115 | App State | Sun Belt | 5-3 | -1.92 | -8.5 (#127) | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 116 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 1-8 | -5.08 | -0.0 (#64) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 117 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | 3-5 | -2.85 | -3.8 (#79) | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 118 | Akron | Mid-American | 1-8 | -6.49 | -7.8 (#119) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 119 | Syracuse | ACC | 4-4 | -1.72 | +1.3 (#52) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 120 | Kennesaw State | Conference USA | 2-6 | -4.54 | -6.1 (#99) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 121 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 5-3 | -1.87 | -9.2 (#130) | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 122 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 4-4 | -2.06 | -0.1 (#65) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 123 | Kansas | Big 12 | 3-5 | -2.15 | +2.0 (#40) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 124 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 5-3 | -1.84 | -8.4 (#126) | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 125 | Maryland | Big Ten | 2-6 | -3.22 | +3.0 (#27) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 126 | Massachusetts | Mid-American | 4-4 | -3.47 | -12.6 (#138) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 127 | Hawai'i | Mountain West | 2-6 | -4.69 | -6.1 (#100) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 128 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | 5-4 | -2.95 | -9.6 (#132) | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 129 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 2-6 | -3.66 | +3.7 (#23) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 130 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 2-6 | -2.81 | +5.1 (#20) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 131 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | 4-4 | -2.84 | -6.3 (#105) | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 132 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 4-4 | -3.02 | -7.9 (#121) | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 133 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 4-4 | -2.35 | -5.1 (#89) | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 134 | Missouri State | Conference USA | 3-5 | -3.23 | -4.5 (#83) | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 135 | Navy | American Athletic | 2-6 | -4.16 | -4.5 (#82) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 136 | Nevada | Mountain West | 3-5 | -3.53 | -5.6 (#92) | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 137 | Florida State | ACC | 3-5 | -1.76 | +3.3 (#26) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 138 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | 3-5 | -3.78 | -5.7 (#93) | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |