NFL Playoff Odds
4 division winners per conference seed 1-4, the top 3 remaining teams seed 5-7 as wildcards. The #1 seed in each conference gets a first-round bye. See the projected bracket and seed odds →
32 of 32 teams
- 90.7%playoff prob.
- 90.1%playoff prob.
- 88.3%playoff prob.
- 83.5%playoff prob.
- 83.5%playoff prob.
- 79.9%playoff prob.
- 78.6%playoff prob.
- 78.4%playoff prob.
- 77.2%playoff prob.
- 76.5%playoff prob.
- 67.6%playoff prob.
- 58.6%playoff prob.
- 51.0%playoff prob.
- 50.3%playoff prob.
- 49.4%playoff prob.
- 42.1%playoff prob.
- 34.0%playoff prob.
- 31.0%playoff prob.
- 28.0%playoff prob.
- 26.9%playoff prob.
- 25.0%playoff prob.
- 23.5%playoff prob.
- 23.0%playoff prob.
- 22.5%playoff prob.
- 15.2%playoff prob.
- 7.5%playoff prob.
- 6.4%playoff prob.
- 4.7%playoff prob.
- 2.4%playoff prob.
- 1.6%playoff prob.
- 1.4%playoff prob.
- 1.4%playoff prob.
| # | Team | Division | Record | SOS | Div. champ | #1 seed / bye | Playoff prob. ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bills | AFC East | 6-1 | -0.1 (#22) | 70.0% | 29.1% | 90.7% |
| 2 | Jaguars | AFC South | 5-2 | -0.6 (#29) | 85.4% | 16.2% | 90.1% |
| 3 | 49ers | NFC West | 6-1 | -0.7 (#30) | 69.8% | 33.9% | 88.3% |
| 4 | Broncos | AFC West | 6-2 | +0.2 (#14) | 49.6% | 12.0% | 83.5% |
| 5 | Bengals | AFC North | 5-2 | -0.9 (#32) | 51.7% | 15.4% | 83.5% |
| 6 | Vikings | NFC North | 6-1 | +0.6 (#8) | 36.2% | 23.2% | 79.9% |
| 7 | Bears | NFC North | 6-2 | +0.8 (#5) | 30.0% | 15.4% | 78.6% |
| 8 | Chiefs | AFC West | 5-2 | -0.5 (#28) | 42.2% | 11.4% | 78.4% |
| 9 | Steelers | AFC North | 6-2 | -0.2 (#24) | 34.7% | 8.0% | 77.2% |
| 10 | Patriots | AFC East | 5-3 | +0.7 (#6) | 29.4% | 6.7% | 76.5% |
| 11 | Lions | NFC North | 5-2 | -0.0 (#19) | 25.1% | 13.7% | 67.6% |
| 12 | Giants | NFC East | 4-2-1 | -0.7 (#31) | 54.0% | 4.1% | 58.6% |
| 13 | Packers | NFC North | 5-3 | +1.1 (#2) | 8.7% | 3.1% | 51.0% |
| 14 | Seahawks | NFC West | 4-4 | +0.1 (#17) | 16.7% | 2.9% | 50.3% |
| 15 | Buccaneers | NFC South | 3-5 | +0.1 (#15) | 44.9% | 0.6% | 49.4% |
| 16 | Rams | NFC West | 4-4 | +0.3 (#10) | 12.2% | 1.8% | 42.1% |
| 17 | Browns | AFC North | 5-3 | -0.1 (#21) | 7.8% | 0.7% | 34.0% |
| 18 | Cowboys | NFC East | 3-5 | -0.4 (#27) | 22.9% | 0.3% | 31.0% |
| 19 | Panthers | NFC South | 3-4 | +0.8 (#4) | 23.1% | 0.5% | 28.0% |
| 20 | Texans | AFC South | 2-5 | -0.3 (#25) | 11.6% | 0.1% | 26.9% |
| 21 | Ravens | AFC North | 4-4 | +0.3 (#11) | 5.7% | 0.2% | 25.0% |
| 22 | Falcons | NFC South | 3-5 | +0.9 (#3) | 19.3% | 0.1% | 23.5% |
| 23 | Raiders | AFC West | 4-4 | -0.3 (#26) | 8.0% | 0.3% | 23.0% |
| 24 | Commanders | NFC East | 2-4-1 | -0.1 (#20) | 17.3% | 0.1% | 22.5% |
| 25 | Saints | NFC South | 2-5 | +0.2 (#13) | 12.8% | 0.1% | 15.2% |
| 26 | Eagles | NFC East | 2-6 | +0.2 (#12) | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.5% |
| 27 | Cardinals | NFC West | 3-5 | +0.5 (#9) | 1.3% | 0.0% | 6.4% |
| 28 | Colts | AFC South | 2-6 | +0.1 (#16) | 2.1% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| 29 | Jets | AFC East | 2-6 | +0.0 (#18) | 0.4% | 0.0% | 2.4% |
| 30 | Dolphins | AFC East | 1-6 | +1.4 (#1) | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.6% |
| 31 | Chargers | AFC West | 0-7 | +0.6 (#7) | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.4% |
| 32 | Titans | AFC South | 1-7 | -0.2 (#23) | 0.8% | 0.0% | 1.4% |