Worth the replay?
Wednesday, October 14's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings21/25Comeback9/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth7/10Overtime+8Drama 90 × pre-game weight 0.94 (pre-game Watchability 89) = 85
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback8/20Decided late13/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 80 × pre-game weight 0.76 (pre-game Watchability 52) = 61
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback6/20Decided late6/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 70 × pre-game weight 0.86 (pre-game Watchability 71) = 60
- #4NetsatHeatNBADown to the wireC+51/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings16/25Comeback2/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 68 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 51
- #5NuggetsatClippersNBA· NBA TVBig comebackC36/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension10/30Swings17/25Comeback14/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 49 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 36
- #6PelicansatMavericksNBA· NBA TVD32/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension21/30Swings14/25Comeback3/20Decided late6/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 43 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 32
- #7SunsatSpursNBAD24/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings15/25Comeback9/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 32 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 24
- #8PistonsatTimberwolvesNBAD22/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings17/25Comeback10/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 29 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 22
- #9HornetsatCelticsNBAOne-sidedD14/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension2/30Swings13/25Comeback4/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 19 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 14
- #10BullsatBucksNBAOne-sidedD13/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings13/25Comeback2/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 18 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 13
▸ Why this grade
Late tension8/30Swings7/25Comeback2/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 17 × pre-game weight 0.62 (pre-game Watchability 24) = 11
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.