Worth the replay?
Friday, October 2's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 85 × pre-game weight 0.93 (pre-game Watchability 85) = 79
- #2BruinsatJetsNHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB+73/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback9/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 97 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 73
- #3RangersatRed WingsNHL· TNT/truTVD28/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension21/30Swings10/25Comeback1/20Decided late5/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 37 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 28
- #4DucksatGolden KnightsNHL· ESPN+D21/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension11/30Swings11/25Comeback6/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 28 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 21
- #5BluesatStarsNHL· TNT/truTVOne-sidedD16/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension6/30Swings11/25Comeback5/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 22 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 16
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings13/25Comeback2/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 15 × pre-game weight 0.93 (pre-game Watchability 85) = 14
- #7CapitalsatHurricanesNHL· ESPN+One-sidedD10/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings10/25Comeback3/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 14 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 10
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings5/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 5 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50) = 4
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.