Worth the replay?
Friday, September 4's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1San José StatE MichiganCFB· ESPN+Back and forthB56/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings21/25Comeback12/20Decided late7/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 80 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 56
- #2ToledoatMichigan StCFB· FS1Back and forthD27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension11/30Swings16/25Comeback0/20Decided late2/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 39 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 27
- #3MiamiatStanfordCFB· ESPNBack and forthOne-sidedD21/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings15/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 25 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 21
- #4Indiana StatPurdueCFB· BTNOne-sidedD12/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings14/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 17 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 12
- #5Fresno StatUSCCFB· FoxOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 2
- #6UTEPatOklahomaCFB· SECN+One-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 0
- #7NC A&TatGeorgia StCFB· ESPN+One-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 0
- #8Long IslandatKansasCFB· ESPNUOne-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 0
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.