Worth the replay?
Thursday, December 25's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1TimberwolvesatNuggetsNBA· ABC/ESPNOvertimeDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthA75/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 75
- #2CavaliersatKnicksNBA· ABC/ESPNDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+73/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings22/25Comeback20/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 97 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 73
- #3LionsatVikingsNFL· NetflixDown to the wireC+53/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings15/25Comeback11/20Decided late12/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 71 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 53
- #4BroncosatChiefsNFL· Prime VideoDown to the wireC+52/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings13/25Comeback4/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 70 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 52
- #5MavericksatWarriorsNBA· ABC/ESPND32/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension27/30Swings10/25Comeback0/20Decided late5/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 42 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 32
- #6SpursatThunderNBA· ABC/ESPNBig comebackD30/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension6/30Swings17/25Comeback14/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 40 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 30
- #7CowboysatCommandersNFL· NetflixD20/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension16/30Swings11/25Comeback0/20Decided late1/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 27 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 20
- #8RocketsatLakersNBA· ABC/ESPNOne-sidedD9/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings12/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 12 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 9
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.