Worth the replay?
Saturday, October 4's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1VirginiaatLouisvilleCFB· ESPN2OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB+71/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback6/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 86 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 71
- #2E MichiganatBuffaloCFB· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+70/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback20/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 70
- #3Texas StatArkansas StCFB· ESPNUDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+70/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback20/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 70
- #4Kansas StatBaylorCFB· ESPN+Down to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+69/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 99 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 69
- #5Penn StateatUCLACFB· CBSBig comebackB+69/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings22/25Comeback17/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 84 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 69
- #6OhioatBall StateCFB· CBSSNDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB63/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings17/25Comeback18/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 91 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 63
- #7WashingtonatMarylandCFB· BTNDown to the wireBig comebackB60/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings20/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 86 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 60
- #8South AlabamaatTroyCFB· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB60/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback3/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 85 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 60
- #9KansasatUCFCFB· ESPN2Down to the wireB57/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings20/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 82 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 57
- #10UTSAatTempleCFB· ESPN+Down to the wireBig comebackB57/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback15/20Decided late10/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 81 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 57
- #11ColoradoatTCUCFB· FoxDown to the wireC+53/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings21/25Comeback10/20Decided late8/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 76 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 53
- #12Oregon StatApp StateCFB· ESPN+Down to the wireC+48/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback5/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 68 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 48
- #13Wake ForestatVirginia TechCFB· CWBack and forthC+47/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension22/30Swings16/25Comeback12/20Decided late7/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 67 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 47
- #14Air ForceatNavyCFB· CBS/Paramount+Down to the wireBack and forthC+46/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings13/25Comeback0/20Decided late12/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 66 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 46
- #15Michigan StatNebraskaCFB· FS1C45/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension26/30Swings19/25Comeback9/20Decided late5/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 64 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 45
- #16NevadaatFresno StCFB· CBSSND34/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings12/25Comeback0/20Decided late5/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 49 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 34
- #17VanderbiltatAlabamaCFB· ABCD34/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension10/30Swings16/25Comeback5/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 35 × pre-game weight 0.97 (pre-game Watchability 95, estimated) = 34
- #18FAUatRiceCFB· ESPN+D29/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension13/30Swings17/25Comeback9/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 42 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 29
- #19C MichiganatAkronCFB· ESPN+D28/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension9/30Swings17/25Comeback7/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 40 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 28
- #20Iowa StateatCincinnatiCFB· ESPN2D28/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension15/30Swings13/25Comeback1/20Decided late4/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 34 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 28
- #21TexasatFloridaCFB· ESPND27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension5/30Swings15/25Comeback10/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 33 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 27
- #22James MadisonatGeorgia StCFB· ESPN+D27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension12/30Swings17/25Comeback5/20Decided late2/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 38 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 27
- #23Miami OHatN IllinoisCFB· ESPN+D27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension8/30Swings16/25Comeback12/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 38 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 27
- #24DukeatCaliforniaCFB· ESPND24/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings16/25Comeback12/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 34 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 24
- #25N Dakota StatIllinois StCFB· ESPN+D21/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings14/25Comeback7/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 30 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 21
- #26ArmyatUABCFB· ESPNUOne-sidedD15/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings15/25Comeback1/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 21 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 15
- #27Mississippi StatTexas A&MCFB· SEC NetworkOne-sidedD12/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings10/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 15 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 12
- #28Boise StatNotre DameCFB· NBC/PeacockOne-sidedD11/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings5/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 13 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 11
- #29IllinoisatPurdueCFB· BTNOne-sidedD11/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension2/30Swings9/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 13 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 11
- #30MiamiatFlorida StCFB· ABCOne-sidedD11/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension2/30Swings6/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 11 × pre-game weight 0.97 (pre-game Watchability 95, estimated) = 11
- #31W MichiganatUMassCFB· ESPN+One-sidedD9/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings8/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 12 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 9
- #32UL MonroeatNorthwesternCFB· BTNOne-sidedD7/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings7/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 9 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 7
- #33WisconsinatMichiganCFB· FoxOne-sidedD6/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings3/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 7 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 6
- #34UNLVatWyomingCFB· CBSSNOne-sidedD5/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings5/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 8 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 5
- #35Boston CollegeatPittCFB· ACC NetworkOne-sidedD4/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings6/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 6 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 4
- #36SyracuseatSMUCFB· ACC NetworkOne-sidedD4/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension2/30Swings4/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 5 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 4
- #37Texas TechatHoustonCFB· ESPNOne-sidedD3/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings4/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 4 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 3
- #38FIUatUConnCFB· CBSSNOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings3/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 4 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 2
- #39MinnesotaatOhio StateCFB· NBC/PeacockOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 2
- #40ClemsonatNorth CarolinaCFB· ESPNOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings3/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 2
- #41CampbellatNC StateCFB· ESPN+/ACCNXOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 2
- #42Kent StateatOklahomaCFB· SEC NetworkOne-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 0
- #43KentuckyatGeorgiaCFB· ABCOne-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 0
- #44Oklahoma StatArizonaCFB· TNT/truTV/HBO MaxOne-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 0
- #45CoastalatOld DominionCFB· ESPN+One-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 0
- #46TulsaatMemphisCFB· ESPNUOne-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 0
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.