Worth the replay?
Saturday, October 4's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1Maple LeafsatRed WingsNHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthA75/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 75
- #2DevilsatFlyersNHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB+73/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings23/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 98 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 73
- #3VirginiaatLouisvilleCFB· ESPN2OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB+71/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback6/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 86 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 71
- #4E MichiganatBuffaloCFB· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+70/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback20/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 70
- #5Texas StatArkansas StCFB· ESPNUDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+70/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback20/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 70
- #6Kansas StatBaylorCFB· ESPN+Down to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+69/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 99 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 69
- #7Penn StateatUCLACFB· CBSBig comebackB+69/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings22/25Comeback17/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 84 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 69
- #8MagicatHeatNBA· NBA TVDown to the wireBig comebackB+66/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings20/25Comeback17/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 89 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 66
- #9OhioatBall StateCFB· CBSSNDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB63/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings17/25Comeback18/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 91 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 63
- #10HurricanesatPredatorsNHLOvertimeDown to the wireB62/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback6/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth7/10Overtime+8Drama 83 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 62
- #11DucksatKingsNHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireB61/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback0/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Overtime+8Drama 81 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 61
- #12WashingtonatMarylandCFB· BTNDown to the wireBig comebackB60/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings20/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 86 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 60
- #13South AlabamaatTroyCFB· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB60/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback3/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 85 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 60
- #14KansasatUCFCFB· ESPN2Down to the wireB57/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings20/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 82 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 57
- #15UTSAatTempleCFB· ESPN+Down to the wireBig comebackB57/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback15/20Decided late10/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 81 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 57
- #16ColoradoatTCUCFB· FoxDown to the wireC+53/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings21/25Comeback10/20Decided late8/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 76 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 53
- #17Oregon StatApp StateCFB· ESPN+Down to the wireC+48/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback5/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 68 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 48
- #18Wake ForestatVirginia TechCFB· CWBack and forthC+47/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension22/30Swings16/25Comeback12/20Decided late7/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 67 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 47
- #19AvalancheatStarsNHLDown to the wireC+46/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback0/20Decided late11/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 62 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 46
- #20SharksatMammothNHL· ESPN+C+46/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension20/30Swings24/25Comeback6/20Decided late4/15Back-and-forth7/10Drama 61 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 46
- #21Air ForceatNavyCFB· CBS/Paramount+Down to the wireBack and forthC+46/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings13/25Comeback0/20Decided late12/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 66 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 46
- #22Michigan StatNebraskaCFB· FS1C45/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension26/30Swings19/25Comeback9/20Decided late5/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 64 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 45
- #23NevadaatFresno StCFB· CBSSND34/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings12/25Comeback0/20Decided late5/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 49 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 34
- #24VanderbiltatAlabamaCFB· ABCD34/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension10/30Swings16/25Comeback5/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 35 × pre-game weight 0.97 (pre-game Watchability 95, estimated) = 34
- #25FAUatRiceCFB· ESPN+D29/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension13/30Swings17/25Comeback9/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 42 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 29
- #26C MichiganatAkronCFB· ESPN+D28/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension9/30Swings17/25Comeback7/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 40 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 28
- #27Iowa StateatCincinnatiCFB· ESPN2D28/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension15/30Swings13/25Comeback1/20Decided late4/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 34 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 28
- #28TexasatFloridaCFB· ESPND27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension5/30Swings15/25Comeback10/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 33 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 27
- #29James MadisonatGeorgia StCFB· ESPN+D27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension12/30Swings17/25Comeback5/20Decided late2/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 38 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 27
- #30Miami OHatN IllinoisCFB· ESPN+D27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension8/30Swings16/25Comeback12/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 38 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 27
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.