Worth the replay?

1. #1

   App StateatCoastal

   CFB· ESPN2

   C+

   50/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension23/30

   Swings24/25

   Comeback12/20

   Decided late5/15

   Back-and-forth8/10

   Drama 71 × pre-game weight 0.71 (pre-game Watchability 42) = 50

2. #2

   MemphisatTulane

   CFB· ESPNBig comeback

   C+

   47/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension16/30

   Swings19/25

   Comeback14/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth5/10

   Drama 54 × pre-game weight 0.88 (pre-game Watchability 75) = 47

3. #3

   WashingtonatPurdue

   CFB· Fox

   D

   33/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension8/30

   Swings14/25

   Comeback6/20

   Decided late1/15

   Back-and-forth8/10

   Drama 37 × pre-game weight 0.91 (pre-game Watchability 82) = 33

Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.