Worth the replay?
Thursday, October 8's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback10/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 89 × pre-game weight 0.76 (pre-game Watchability 53) = 68
▸ Why this grade
Late tension13/30Swings18/25Comeback10/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 48 × pre-game weight 0.77 (pre-game Watchability 54) = 37
▸ Why this grade
Late tension6/30Swings12/25Comeback4/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 22 × pre-game weight 0.58 (pre-game Watchability 16) = 13
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings2/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 2 × pre-game weight 0.53 (pre-game Watchability 5) = 1
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.