Worth the replay?

1. #1

   PackersatBroncos

   NFL· NFL NetOne-sided

   D

   16/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension0/30

   Swings13/25

   Comeback3/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth5/10

   Drama 22 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 16

2. #2

   JetsatSteelers

   NFL· NFL NetOne-sided

   D

   14/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension8/30

   Swings11/25

   Comeback0/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth0/10

   Drama 19 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 14

3. #3

   PanthersatJaguars

   NFL· ESPN UnlmtdOne-sided

   D

   9/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension0/30

   Swings11/25

   Comeback0/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth0/10

   Drama 12 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 9

Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.