Worth the replay?
Tuesday, March 17's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1ThunderatMagicNBABack and forthB57/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback6/20Decided late11/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 76 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 57
- #2CavaliersatBucksNBA· NBC/PeacockC45/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings15/25Comeback2/20Decided late5/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 59 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 45
- #3SunsatTimberwolvesNBAD21/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension3/30Swings14/25Comeback6/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 28 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 21
- #4HeatatHornetsNBAOne-sidedD15/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings12/25Comeback1/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 20 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 15
- #5PacersatKnicksNBAOne-sidedD10/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings8/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 14 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 10
- #6PistonsatWizardsNBAOne-sidedD6/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings2/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 8 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 6
- #776ersatNuggetsNBA· NBC/PeacockOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings3/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 2
- #8SpursatKingsNBAOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings2/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 2 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 2
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.