Worth the replay?
Wednesday, February 4's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1PelicansatBucksNBAOvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthA75/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback13/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 75
- #2TimberwolvesatRaptorsNBADown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+73/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings23/25Comeback20/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 98 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 73
- #3NuggetsatKnicksNBA· ESPNOvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB+73/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings24/25Comeback10/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 97 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 73
- #4GrizzliesatKingsNBADown to the wireBack and forthB64/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback11/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 85 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 64
- #5CelticsatRocketsNBAD24/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings16/25Comeback11/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 32 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 24
- #6ThunderatSpursNBA· ESPND20/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension17/30Swings9/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 27 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 20
- #7CavaliersatClippersNBAOne-sidedD8/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings10/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 10 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 8
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.