Worth the replay?

1. #1

   ToledoatKent State

   CBB· CBSSNBack and forth

   B

   64/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension30/30

   Swings21/25

   Comeback9/20

   Decided late14/15

   Back-and-forth10/10

   Drama 85 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 64

2. #2

   CreightonatProvidence

   CBB· FS1

   B

   57/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension23/30

   Swings21/25

   Comeback12/20

   Decided late15/15

   Back-and-forth5/10

   Drama 76 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 57

3. #3

   Colorado StatBoise St

   CBB· FS1Down to the wire

   C+

   54/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension30/30

   Swings20/25

   Comeback2/20

   Decided late15/15

   Back-and-forth5/10

   Drama 72 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 54

4. #4

   OhioatBall State

   CBB· CBSSNDown to the wire

   C+

   50/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension30/30

   Swings19/25

   Comeback3/20

   Decided late15/15

   Back-and-forth0/10

   Drama 67 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 50

5. #5

   MarquetteatDePaul

   CBB· FS1

   C

   40/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension16/30

   Swings22/25

   Comeback13/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth3/10

   Drama 54 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 40

6. #6

   Loyola ChicagoatDayton

   CBB· ESPN2Back and forthOne-sided

   D

   14/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension1/30

   Swings9/25

   Comeback0/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth10/10

   Drama 19 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 14

7. #7

   BayloratKansas

   CBB· FoxOne-sided

   D

   12/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension0/30

   Swings14/25

   Comeback0/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth3/10

   Drama 16 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 12

Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.