Worth the replay?

1. #1

   BillsatJaguars

   NFL· CBSDown to the wireBack and forth

   B

   64/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension30/30

   Swings20/25

   Comeback10/20

   Decided late15/15

   Back-and-forth10/10

   Drama 85 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 64

2. #2

   49ersatEagles

   NFL· FoxDown to the wireBack and forth

   B

   62/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension30/30

   Swings17/25

   Comeback11/20

   Decided late15/15

   Back-and-forth10/10

   Drama 83 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 62

3. #3

   ChargersatPatriots

   NFL· NBC/PeacockOne-sided

   D

   18/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension6/30

   Swings12/25

   Comeback4/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth3/10

   Drama 24 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 18

Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.