Worth the replay?
Tuesday, January 6's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1SpursatGrizzliesNBADown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+70/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings23/25Comeback15/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 93 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 70
- #2MavericksatKingsNBA· NBC/PeacockDown to the wireBig comebackB64/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback15/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 85 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 64
- #3CavaliersatPacersNBADown to the wireBig comebackB63/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback14/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 84 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 63
- #4LakersatPelicansNBABig comebackBack and forthB63/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback14/20Decided late10/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 83 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 63
- #5MagicatWizardsNBAC+52/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings17/25Comeback11/20Decided late10/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 70 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 52
- #6HeatatTimberwolvesNBA· NBC/PeacockD19/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings16/25Comeback7/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 25 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 19
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.