Worth the replay?

Monday, January 5's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.

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  1. #1
    MammothatRangers
    NHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wire
    B+
    65/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension30/30
    Swings19/25
    Comeback8/20
    Decided late15/15
    Back-and-forth7/10
    Overtime+8

    Drama 87 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 65

  2. #2
    Red WingsatSenators
    NHL· ESPN+
    C
    38/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension23/30
    Swings18/25
    Comeback4/20
    Decided late7/15
    Back-and-forth0/10

    Drama 51 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 38

  3. #3
    DucksatCapitals
    NHL· ESPN+
    C
    35/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension19/30
    Swings17/25
    Comeback4/20
    Decided late3/15
    Back-and-forth3/10

    Drama 47 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 35

  4. #4
    KrakenatFlames
    NHL· ESPN+
    D
    23/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension5/30
    Swings13/25
    Comeback9/20
    Decided late0/15
    Back-and-forth3/10

    Drama 30 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 23

  5. #5
    WildatKings
    NHL· ESPN+
    D
    20/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension14/30
    Swings9/25
    Comeback1/20
    Decided late2/15
    Back-and-forth0/10

    Drama 26 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 20

Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.

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