Worth the replay?
Sunday, January 4's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1PenguinsatBlue JacketsNHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBig comebackA75/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback17/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth7/10Overtime+8Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 75
- #2CanadiensatStarsNHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB+72/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings22/25Comeback10/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 95 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 72
- #3Golden KnightsatBlackhawksNHL· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireB64/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings14/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth7/10Overtime+8Drama 86 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 64
- #4AvalancheatPanthersNHL· ESPN+D29/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension22/30Swings4/25Comeback3/20Decided late6/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 39 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 29
- #5HurricanesatDevilsNHL· ESPN+D26/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension19/30Swings8/25Comeback0/20Decided late4/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 34 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 26
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.