Worth the replay?
Sunday, January 4's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1RavensatSteelersNFL· NBC/PeacockDown to the wireBack and forthB+69/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings23/25Comeback13/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 91 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 69
- #2BrownsatBengalsNFL· CBSDown to the wireBig comebackB+67/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings20/25Comeback17/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 90 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 67
- #3ChiefsatRaidersNFL· CBSDown to the wireBack and forthB+66/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings21/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 88 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 66
- #4CommandersatEaglesNFL· CBSDown to the wireBig comebackB+66/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings20/25Comeback15/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 88 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 66
- #5ColtsatTexansNFL· CBSDown to the wireBack and forthB57/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings17/25Comeback4/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 77 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 57
- #6LionsatBearsNFL· FoxDown to the wireC+53/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback4/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 70 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 53
- #7SaintsatFalconsNFL· FoxC41/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings12/25Comeback0/20Decided late12/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 54 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 41
- #8CowboysatGiantsNFL· FoxD25/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension4/30Swings15/25Comeback7/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 34 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 25
- #9CardinalsatRamsNFL· FoxBack and forthD20/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension4/30Swings13/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 27 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 20
- #10PackersatVikingsNFL· CBSOne-sidedD11/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension2/30Swings8/25Comeback4/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 14 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 11
- #11TitansatJaguarsNFL· FoxOne-sidedD7/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings7/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 10 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 7
- #12ChargersatBroncosNFL· CBSOne-sidedD5/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension3/30Swings4/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 7 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 5
- #13DolphinsatPatriotsNFL· FoxOne-sidedD4/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings5/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 5 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 4
- #14JetsatBillsNFL· CBSOne-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 0
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.