Worth the replay?

Thursday, January 1's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.

Best games of the season →
  1. #1
    HeatatPistons
    NBA
    C+
    54/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension24/30
    Swings17/25
    Comeback9/20
    Decided late15/15
    Back-and-forth8/10

    Drama 72 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 54

  2. #2
    CelticsatKings
    NBABack and forth
    C+
    47/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension29/30
    Swings17/25
    Comeback2/20
    Decided late5/15
    Back-and-forth10/10

    Drama 63 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 47

  3. #3
    JazzatClippers
    NBA
    D
    35/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension19/30
    Swings15/25
    Comeback3/20
    Decided late4/15
    Back-and-forth5/10

    Drama 46 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 35

  4. #4
    76ersatMavericks
    NBA· NBA TV
    D
    33/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension10/30
    Swings15/25
    Comeback10/20
    Decided late4/15
    Back-and-forth5/10

    Drama 44 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 33

  5. #5
    RocketsatNets
    NBAOne-sided
    D
    2/100
    ▸ Why this grade
    Late tension0/30
    Swings3/25
    Comeback0/20
    Decided late0/15
    Back-and-forth0/10

    Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 2

Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.

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