Worth the replay?
Wednesday, December 31's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1MichiganatTexasCFB· ABCDown to the wireBack and forthB+70/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback7/20Decided late9/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 73 × pre-game weight 0.95 (pre-game Watchability 90, estimated) = 70
- #2MiamiatOhio StateCFB· ESPNDown to the wireB+67/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings19/25Comeback9/20Decided late11/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 69 × pre-game weight 0.97 (pre-game Watchability 95, estimated) = 67
- #3Arizona StatDukeCFB· CBSDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+67/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback15/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 95 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 67
- #4IowaatVanderbiltCFB· ESPND27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension12/30Swings13/25Comeback4/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 29 × pre-game weight 0.95 (pre-game Watchability 90, estimated) = 27
- #5NebraskaatUtahCFB· ESPNOne-sidedD11/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings8/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 13 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 11
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.