Worth the replay?
Tuesday, December 30's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1USCatTCUCFB· ESPNOvertimeDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthA83/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings23/25Comeback18/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 100 × pre-game weight 0.82 (pre-game Watchability 65, estimated) = 83
- #2TennesseeatIllinoisCFB· ESPNDown to the wireB60/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings22/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 86 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 60
- #3CoastalatLouisiana TechCFB· ESPNC+53/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension24/30Swings22/25Comeback13/20Decided late12/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 76 × pre-game weight 0.70 (pre-game Watchability 40, estimated) = 53
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.