Worth the replay?
Tuesday, December 23's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1IdahoatBakersfieldCBB· ESPN+Down to the wireBack and forthB+66/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings24/25Comeback9/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 88 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 66
- #2BinghamtonatArmyCBB· ESPN+OvertimeDown to the wireBack and forthB63/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings21/25Comeback0/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Overtime+8Drama 84 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 63
- #3FAUatUCFCBBDown to the wireB60/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings21/25Comeback12/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 81 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 60
- #4LindenwoodatMissouri StCBB· ESPN+Down to the wireC+52/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback4/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 70 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 52
- #5VillanovaatSeton HallCBB· PeacockOne-sidedD18/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings15/25Comeback4/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 24 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 18
- #6Green BayatCampbellCBBOne-sidedD14/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings13/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 18 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 14
- #7BellarmineatKentuckyCBB· SECN+One-sidedD6/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 9 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 6
- #8HarvardatSt John'sCBB· FS1One-sidedD4/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 5 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 4
- #9UC RiversideatUCLACBB· BTNOne-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 2
- #10WVU TechatMarshallCBB· ESPN+One-sidedD2/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 3 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 2
- #11GramblingatOhio StateCBB· BTNOne-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 0
- #12Morgan StatLMUCBB· ESPN+One-sidedD0/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings0/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 0
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.