Worth the replay?
Sunday, December 21's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1PatriotsatRavensNFL· NBC/PeacockDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+70/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings23/25Comeback17/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 94 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 70
- #2SteelersatLionsNFL· CBSDown to the wireB+66/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback13/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 88 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 66
- #3BuccaneersatPanthersNFL· FoxDown to the wireBack and forthB61/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings15/25Comeback11/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 81 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 61
- #4VikingsatGiantsNFL· FoxDown to the wireC+53/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings17/25Comeback4/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 70 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 53
- #5RaidersatTexansNFL· CBSDown to the wireBack and forthC+50/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings14/25Comeback0/20Decided late13/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 66 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 50
- #6BillsatBrownsNFL· CBSC40/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension27/30Swings10/25Comeback0/20Decided late14/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 53 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 40
- #7FalconsatCardinalsNFL· FoxD34/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension17/30Swings15/25Comeback11/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 45 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 34
- #8ChargersatCowboysNFL· FoxBack and forthD30/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension11/30Swings13/25Comeback6/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 40 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 30
- #9JaguarsatBroncosNFL· FoxD26/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension6/30Swings14/25Comeback6/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 35 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 26
- #10ChiefsatTitansNFL· CBSD22/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension2/30Swings14/25Comeback9/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 30 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 22
- #11BengalsatDolphinsNFL· CBSOne-sidedD14/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings11/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 19 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 14
- #12JetsatSaintsNFL· CBSOne-sidedD8/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension1/30Swings4/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 10 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 8
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.