Worth the replay?

1. #1

   MiamiatTexas A&M

   CFB· ABC/ESPNDown to the wire

   B+

   71/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension30/30

   Swings18/25

   Comeback7/20

   Decided late15/15

   Back-and-forth3/10

   Drama 72 × pre-game weight 0.97 (pre-game Watchability 95, estimated) = 71

2. #2

   TulaneatOle Miss

   CFB· TNT/HBO Max/truTV/TBSOne-sided

   D

   2/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension0/30

   Swings2/25

   Comeback0/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth0/10

   Drama 2 × pre-game weight 0.97 (pre-game Watchability 95, estimated) = 2

3. #3

   James MadisonatOregon

   CFB· TNT/HBO Max/truTV/TBSOne-sided

   D

   0/100
   ▸ Why this grade

   Late tension0/30

   Swings0/25

   Comeback0/20

   Decided late0/15

   Back-and-forth0/10

   Drama 0 × pre-game weight 0.97 (pre-game Watchability 95, estimated) = 0

Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.