Worth the replay?
Sunday, October 12's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1RaptorsatWizardsNBA· NBA TVDown to the wireBig comebackBack and forthB+74/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings25/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 99 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 74
- #2NetsatSunsNBA· NBA TVDown to the wireBig comebackB+68/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings22/25Comeback19/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 91 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 68
- #3NuggetsatClippersNBA· ESPNDown to the wireB60/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback11/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth8/10Drama 81 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 60
- #4BucksatBullsNBADown to the wireC+51/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings17/25Comeback4/20Decided late15/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 68 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 51
- #5WarriorsatLakersNBAD25/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension15/30Swings14/25Comeback1/20Decided late2/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 34 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 25
- #6HeatatMagicNBAD23/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension7/30Swings14/25Comeback5/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth5/10Drama 31 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 23
- #7CavaliersatCelticsNBA· ESPNOne-sidedD5/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings6/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 7 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 5
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.