Worth the replay?
Thursday, October 2's games ranked by how good they turned out to be: late drama, comebacks, lead swaps and overtime. No scores, no winners, so you can decide what to watch without spoilers.
Best games of the season →- #1IslandersatFlyersNHL· ESPN+Down to the wireBack and forthB59/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings18/25Comeback8/20Decided late13/15Back-and-forth10/10Drama 79 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 59
- #2Red WingsatMaple LeafsNHL· NHL NetDown to the wireC42/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension30/30Swings11/25Comeback6/20Decided late6/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 57 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 42
- #3BruinsatCapitalsNHL· ESPN+D34/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension20/30Swings12/25Comeback6/20Decided late4/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 46 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 34
- #4DevilsatRangersNHL· ESPN+D32/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension20/30Swings15/25Comeback0/20Decided late4/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 43 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 32
- #5KingsatMammothNHL· ESPN+D28/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension20/30Swings9/25Comeback0/20Decided late4/15Back-and-forth3/10Drama 37 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 28
- #6PanthersatLightningNHL· ESPN+D27/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension5/30Swings18/25Comeback7/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth7/10Drama 36 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 27
- #7SenatorsatBluesNHLOne-sidedD7/100
▸ Why this grade
Late tension0/30Swings9/25Comeback0/20Decided late0/15Back-and-forth0/10Drama 9 × pre-game weight 0.75 (pre-game Watchability 50, estimated) = 7
Ranked from each game's win probability as it was played (ESPN's for football and basketball; ours, from the goals, for hockey): how in doubt it was near the end, how far the winner came back from, how late it was decided, how big its momentum swings were and how often a team erased a deficit, with a bonus for overtime. That drama is then weighted by how good a matchup it was going in (its pre-game Watchability score), so a thriller between top teams ranks above an equally wild game between minor ones.