Watchability

NFL Head-to-Head

Pick two teams and a venue to see the projected margin and win probability.

JAX
#1 · AFC
52%
to win
BUF
#2 · AFC
48%
to win

JAX by 0.8 points (52% to win) on a neutral site.

JAXRating (points)BUF
+7.0Net rating+6.3
+3.5Offense+6.3
+3.5Defense-0.0

Win probability = normal curve on the rating gap plus a 2 points home edge, with a typical game spread of 13.5 points. It uses power ratings only: no injuries, rest or lineups.