Pick two teams and a venue to see the projected margin and win probability.
San Antonio Spurs
#1 · West
53%
to win
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2 · West
47%
to win
San Antonio Spurs by 1.0 points (53% to win) on a neutral site.
San Antonio Spurs
Rating (points)
Oklahoma City Thunder
+8.1
Net rating
+7.1
+3.4
Offense
+1.8
+4.7
Defense
+5.3
Win probability = normal curve on the rating gap plus a 2 points home edge, with a typical game spread of 12 points. It uses power ratings only: no injuries, rest or lineups.
