Watchability

College Basketball Head-to-Head

Pick two teams and a venue to see the projected margin and win probability.

Florida
#1 · SEC
52%
to win
Duke
#2 · ACC
48%
to win

Florida by 0.6 points (52% to win) on a neutral site.

FloridaRating (points)Duke
+24.4Net rating+23.8
+13.9Offense+12.5
+10.5Defense+11.4

Win probability = normal curve on the rating gap plus a 3.3 points home edge, with a typical game spread of 10.5 points. It uses power ratings only: no injuries, rest or lineups.